Oregon at UCLA odds, picks and prediction

USA Today Sportsbookwire

The No. 10 Oregon Ducks (5-1, 2-1 Pac-12) stop by the Rose Bowl Saturday for a conference clash with the UCLA Bruins (5-2, 3-1) at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Oregon vs. UCLA odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oregon bounced back from an overtime loss at the Stanford Cardinal to beat the California Golden Bears 24-17 as a 13.5-point home favorite Oct. 15. The only cover on the Ducks' resume this season was in their 35-28 road upset of the No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 2.

UCLA took down the Washington Huskies 24-17 as a 1.5-point road underdog to win and cover for the third time in four games. The Bruins are 5-2 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the 33rd-toughest schedule, according to USA TODAY's Jeff Sagarin.

The Bruins are 0-2 overall (1-1 ATS) vs. the Ducks since head coach Chip Kelly took over the program in 2018. Kelly was Oregon's head coach from 2009-12. The Ducks won 86.8% of their games under Kelly and lost in the 2010 BCS Championship to the Auburn Tigers.

UCLA at Oregon odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oregon +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | UCLA -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oregon +1.5 (-112) | UCLA -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UCLA at Oregon odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

UCLA 37, Oregon 28

Money line

This is the year UCLA (-120) and Kelly gets it done vs. Oregon. Both teams have awesome offensive lines, but the Bruins' defensive front is far better than the Ducks'.

For instance, UCLA's offensive line ranks sixth in line yards per snap and Oregon's ranks 10th, according to Football Outsiders. But the Bruins rank 21st in defensive line yards per snap while the Ducks rank 84th.

Also, even though Oregon ranks ahead of UCLA on Football Outsiders' FEI Ratings, the Bruins have a higher net drive efficiency, net points per drive and net points per play than the Ducks.

There's not a lot separating these teams but Oregon has a better rep because this Chip Kelly-UCLA thing hasn't worked as fast as people hoped. But it's working now and the Ducks have a lot more names on their injury report than the Bruins.

BET 1 unit on UCLA (-120).

Against the spread

PASS. However, I'd certainly bet the Bruins if they become underdogs.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight "lean" to the Over 60.5 (-110) because there's been a sharp line move in that direction and the Over cashed in the last two Oregon-UCLA meetings.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the money is on the Over, which has steamed this total up from the 58.5-point opener. However, since I don't like following a crowd in sports betting, I'm going to PASS on my "lean" to the Over.

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